#64097: "Dice statistics"

mai 4 th 2022 22:22 • Sdani • Arendajad ei ole seda soovitust veel analüüsinud:

it can be an option

mai 4 th 2022 22:26 • lordalx • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Dice statistics are already part of end game statistics.

This is already implemented and since no die roll is related to previous, I don't see the point of having such stat display during the game itself.

juuni 15 th 2022 23:16 • camillemayer • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

the "old online version" is Brettspielwelt (which I think is still on, actually), and I agree it was very interesting to have access to real time statistics. Also, the display was a histogram of the number of times the number rolled (without showing the %), and I think it was more appropriate :)

juuni 22 nd 2022 6:44 • Respublik • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

While I like this suggestion for my game's enjoyment, having the site present dice stats live doesn't feel at all in the spirit of the game.

juuni 24 th 2022 16:48 • joel2v32 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

This feature use to be on "Asobrain" which was similar to Catan.

As the game continued you would see how many times a dice was rolled.

I agree this is nice to have during the game to see how many times certain dice were rolled.

I've only played two games, but in both games felt the 10 and 8 were unfairly under rolled.

juuni 30 th 2022 19:03 • djabwana • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Yes the real time display is helpful when you try to negotiate with players and say things like "I only ever got 1 wheat from that spot, please don't block it". It's helpful to make sure you're being accurate based on the history of dice that was rolled (And since it's in the game log, it's not new information, just collecting it into a popup or tooltip somewhere)

juuni 30 th 2022 19:04 • djabwana • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Maybe we should update the title of this ticket though to indicate "real time" or "in game"

Thank you for adding it to the end of game display!

juuli 4 th 2022 0:05 • ptitours de lyon • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Could you also verify on several games that the dice are realy normals : I saw realy too unprobable score : 3 and 11 particulary. A mesure on each games could measure the fair of dice

juuli 16 th 2022 9:03 • caz_manc • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

There is a problem with the three player game where the numbers are not random. Sometimes it gets stuck on a number which comes up 3 times in a row, and sometimes numbers don't come up at all in the whole game.

juuli 19 th 2022 0:09 • LordMouton • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Dice statistics are weird almost every game.
Last one I played :
3 - 9 times
4 - 15
5 - 13
6 - 19
7 - 11
8 - 11
9 - 6
10 - 4
11 - 6
12 - 6

juuli 28 th 2022 10:07 • ScreamingWheels • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I agree that the random number generator being used is broken and not fit for purpose - it clearly is not providing a distribution you would expect from two D6. Statistics would only serve to emphasise this. BGA just need to fix the RNG otherwise game is not playable.

juuli 28 th 2022 10:09 • ScreamingWheels • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

A.normal distribution from 2D6 is ESSENTIAL for this game to function correctly - it is ALL about resource selection based on probability

juuli 29 th 2022 19:40 • LordMouton • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

again and again and again...
Lancer de dés : taux de 2 (~3%) 0
Lancer de dés : taux de 3 (~6%) 12
Lancer de dés : taux de 4 (~8%) 13
Lancer de dés : taux de 5 (~11%) 12
Lancer de dés : taux de 6 (~14%) 7
Lancer de dés : taux de 7 (~17%) 19
Lancer de dés : taux de 8 (~14%) 15
Lancer de dés : taux de 9 (~11%) 9
Lancer de dés : taux de 10 (~8%) 5
Lancer de dés : taux de 11 (~6%) 8
Lancer de dés : taux de 12 (~3%) 0

aug 5 th 2022 16:43 • PeteZah • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I can confirm the camillemayer suggestion. On BSW, a panel contained an histogram automatically refreshed after each dice throw. It was just as information, but it avoid a lot of non fact-based messages in the chat. For me, display it during the game is really a simple implementation and can make the ambiance better during the game

aug 7 th 2022 7:19 • Bhaouloute • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

As a turn-base game player, i agree with the suggestion ! To get an idea of what ressources are available for trade or theft, I have to scroll a long time through the game log. A real time dice throw stats display would be a great improvement for me.

aug 10 th 2022 14:50 • MrBeardy • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

the old playcatan website of circa 2010 used to have this "number of dice rolls" histogram. It was off by default but users could click a button to display it if they wanted to. It was useful to see what the distribution was when you couldn't understand why you were doing so badly, to see that 3 and 11 had come up loads and your 5-6-9 combo hadn't happened much (at that point) and then later you could see the distribution change. Or sometimes not change and you could just chalk it down to weird dice that game. It's not essential but it is useful. Particularly when you get a whiner in the chat who thinks the game is persecuting them etc.

aug 16 th 2022 14:02 • nerhael • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I feel like the dice stats can't be right. I just finished a game that claims 5 was rolled 13 times, yet I produced only 9 brick. However, I started settlement on a 5 brick, and it was my first upgrade to a city early game, there was never a robber on it, so how is that possible?

aug 23 rd 2022 9:10 • Kabresh • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

When in the beginning of a game a number rolls a couple of times, hurry and put a house next to it.
In most games i played, the randomniser has a favorite number.

Would be nice if bga checked on there randomniser

aug 29 th 2022 16:57 • mileswiles • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

it's shaming those dices. I've played a game than 9 is rolled EVERY TIME.

sept 20 th 2022 4:49 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

As a mathematician with a graduate degree, I agree that the random number generator for Catan needs to be looked at. The last game I played had 8 and 9 rolled twice as much as they would have been in a normal distribution and 5 rolled half as much, but more notably the die clearly favored one player and punished one player. I've noticed this now on many games. It's really not fun to play with a die that is so obviously not random.

sept 20 th 2022 8:03 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Just played a game with 4 elevens rolled in the first nine rolls (probability of that happening is about 6 in 10,000)

sept 21 st 2022 2:34 • MrBeardy • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

re my post above, the histogram was real time (in game) not limited to end game stats. There were also useful summary tallies of how many resources each player had received/traded/had blocked/had robbed/received by robbery available in real time too. It was far more useful in-game and easier to read than the end game table presented on BGA.

okt 15 th 2022 19:59 • JackyJansen • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Playing a lot, and it seams the algorithm has 'habits". I just had a game where a player threw 7 times 7 in consecutive turns, games with hardly 6 or 8, but an amazing amount of 5 and 9. Even games where there were more 2 and 12 than 4 or 10. Distribution is weird, to say the least.

okt 19 th 2022 3:38 • soleada • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Please look at the game table #309741100

Dice roll: rate of 2 (~3%)
0
Dice roll: rate of 3 (~6%)
2
Dice roll: rate of 4 (~8%)
2
Dice roll: rate of 5 (~11%)
9
Dice roll: rate of 6 (~14%)
2
Dice roll: rate of 7 (~17%)
19
Dice roll: rate of 8 (~14%)
16
Dice roll: rate of 9 (~11%)
9
Dice roll: rate of 10 (~8%)
23
Dice roll: rate of 11 (~6%)
12
Dice roll: rate of 12 (~3%)
5

How is this even possible?
Distribution skewed heavily. Also almost no 6s but a million 10s.

Something is seriously off with probabilities of Catan, since this happens a lot.
Almost every game probabilities are off.

okt 24 th 2022 7:20 • donkeyboy72 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I can only echo that the dice do not follow the probabilities at all. The distribution of rolls is not anywhere near how it should be. Please look into it. It is very frustrating for many players. I can't chalk ot up to a fluke, as many games as I have played now.

dets 2 nd 2022 20:39 • Jevanyn • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I've been accumulating dice totals across multiple games, to see if there is sufficient regression toward the mean.

That being said, the dice totals are incorrect at the end of a game. For example:

boardgamearena.com/8/catan?table=322970460

There were 58 player turns, but the dice rolls add up to 101. If you're already showing %age for each roll, why are the actual counts scaled up to ~100? I've seen this for multiple games: the total number of turns will be 50-60 but the number of rolls is ~100.

dets 5 th 2022 0:35 • TedinTO • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I definitely agree that the dice do not follow expected probabilities. In my experience this has worsened to the point that the winner of most games of experienced players is (in effect) the dice, not the "winning" player.

Although I try to counter this reality by placing my initial settlements close to as many different numbers as possible, almost invariably the dice decide to fixate on the numbers to which I am not adjacent (i.e. 5s and 9s - or worse - when I am near both 6s and 8s.)

Although I really like the game concept, this flaw has led me to quit one or two games in extreme frustration and consider giving up playing the game entirely.

dets 30 th 2022 2:26 • starman72 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I also agree that the dice statistics are off. Not enough 6's and too many 8's and 10's.

The community has picked up on this-- good players take "8" locations in preference over "6" locations.

jaan 31 st 2023 21:34 • chobo21 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Game ID # 342287246 Bug, cheating or just strange luck?

Winning player rolled 7 seven times out of eighteen rolls while myself and third player each rolled only two 7's apiece. I'm salty because I think I objectively had the best board setup and probability to win.

veebr 14 th 2023 6:07 • judyjay • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Dice is not random. our game had at least 15 tens rolled and 1 six.

veebr 14 th 2023 6:23 • judyjay • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

ID
Dice roll: rate of 2 (~3%)
4
Dice roll: rate of 3 (~6%)
9
Dice roll: rate of 4 (~8%)
11
Dice roll: rate of 5 (~11%)
11
Dice roll: rate of 6 (~14%)
2
Dice roll: rate of 7 (~17%)
13
Dice roll: rate of 8 (~14%)
13
Dice roll: rate of 9 (~11%)
9
Dice roll: rate of 10 (~8%)
21
Dice roll: rate of 11 (~6%)
6
Dice roll: rate of 12 (~3%)
2

märts 10 th 2023 6:02 • WeLoveKoyori • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

table=355087901
Here's another extreme example where I got demolished because I produced only a total of 25 resources in the whole game (ofc without intentionally choosing bad locations).

Dice roll: rate of 2 (~3%)
0
Dice roll: rate of 3 (~6%)
6
Dice roll: rate of 4 (~8%)
6
Dice roll: rate of 5 (~11%)
18
Dice roll: rate of 6 (~14%)
5
Dice roll: rate of 7 (~17%)
15
Dice roll: rate of 8 (~14%)
21
Dice roll: rate of 9 (~11%)
6
Dice roll: rate of 10 (~8%)
13
Dice roll: rate of 11 (~6%)
3
Dice roll: rate of 12 (~3%)
6

märts 10 th 2023 21:25 • nocheatspls • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

CZEMU KOŚCI SĄ ŻUCANE TAK ABY JEDEN GRACZ MIAŁ W KOŚCIACH 7 ?

märts 21 st 2023 20:38 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

@Jevanyn, I applaud and support your efforts to analyze the statistics of these weird dice over many games. The end-game stats do not tally number of rolls for each possible outcome, but rather the percentage of each outcome (rounded to the nearest percent).

märts 22 nd 2023 13:11 • firstpn • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

The dice statistic is not balance.

apr 2 nd 2023 15:49 • Furious-Sep • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Hi .... I absolutely agree ... It's normal that soetimes à numbre ocures more often ... but here there's really a problem..... 24 times 6 agaist 12 times 8?????
Guys you have to fix this..... ant in every game there are strange things.
Chance is part of the game ... bur normally there's also strategy.... and on BGA it really onlt luck.

apr 5 th 2023 23:14 • Furious-Sep • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Table 364028514 - April 5th 2023
Lancer de dés : taux de 2 (~3%)
9
Lancer de dés : taux de 3 (~6%)
4
Lancer de dés : taux de 4 (~8%)
1
Lancer de dés : taux de 5 (~11%)
21
Lancer de dés : taux de 6 (~14%)
9
Lancer de dés : taux de 7 (~17%)
14
Lancer de dés : taux de 8 (~14%)
13
Lancer de dés : taux de 9 (~11%)
12
Lancer de dés : taux de 10 (~8%)
5
Lancer de dés : taux de 11 (~6%)
8
Lancer de dés : taux de 12 (~3%)
4

apr 5 th 2023 23:16 • Furious-Sep • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

See above
.... 9 times 2, 8 times 11 and 9 times 6
... 21 times 5

We had a lot of fun with the dices lol ... but it's impossible to develop a strategy with that

apr 5 th 2023 23:16 • Furious-Sep • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

and 1 time 4 lol

apr 6 th 2023 6:48 • firstpn • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

if you can't fix this problem . I'll stop playing permanently

apr 7 th 2023 10:20 • agentlik • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

boardgamearena.com/table?table=364487743

Last 12 turns - 8 dropped 8 times (75%). Player with house on "8" won the game. Because 75% is too much.
8-3-8-8-8-7-8-8-8-6-7-8 - last 12 turns

apr 18 th 2023 16:32 • lecasgb • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Lancer de dés : taux de 2 (~3%)
6
Lancer de dés : taux de 3 (~6%)
3
Lancer de dés : taux de 4 (~8%)
3
Lancer de dés : taux de 5 (~11%)
11
Lancer de dés : taux de 6 (~14%)
2
Lancer de dés : taux de 7 (~17%)
20
Lancer de dés : taux de 8 (~14%)
17
Lancer de dés : taux de 9 (~11%)
13
Lancer de dés : taux de 10 (~8%)
16
Lancer de dés : taux de 11 (~6%)
5
Lancer de dés : taux de 12 (~3%)
5

Same thing ...
Table 368335739

Moreover, it say that there was 2 roll 6 but i saw only one. I saw the game another time and there was only one 6. So only 1 six on 76 rolls...

apr 27 th 2023 14:54 • lecasgb • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Table 371364965

Lancer de dés : taux de 2 (~3%)
5
Lancer de dés : taux de 3 (~6%)
0
Lancer de dés : taux de 4 (~8%)
10
Lancer de dés : taux de 5 (~11%)
10
Lancer de dés : taux de 6 (~14%)
14
Lancer de dés : taux de 7 (~17%)
10
Lancer de dés : taux de 8 (~14%)
10
Lancer de dés : taux de 9 (~11%)
12
Lancer de dés : taux de 10 (~8%)
14
Lancer de dés : taux de 11 (~6%)
12
Lancer de dés : taux de 12 (~3%)
5

Same thing... A lot of 10 and 11

mai 6 th 2023 0:20 • goldlyn • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

out of the last 6 dice rolls, five (5!!!) were 7's. That means no one could make amove for 5 of the 7 turns. Ridiculous. Unacceptable. PLEASE FIX!!!
Table #373853551
Move #50
Progression 0%

mai 6 th 2023 0:21 • goldlyn • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

What more information do you want in order to look into this bug???

mai 18 th 2023 9:02 • Crowdel • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Commenting to maintain relevance of this issue. It needs fixing. When you have a settlement next to 1 of every number but 9 and 10 but then the one player who placed almost exclusively there wins by a mile because of die rolls... Not fun. Table #378262691

juuni 5 th 2023 20:04 • real_vpp • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Pattern I am seeing almost any Catan game now: It comes a moment in the game when only two dices are thrown: 4, 6 with some 7 cherry on top, over and over. Literally insane to play in such conditions.

Sample: Catan game 384257740

juuni 8 th 2023 22:29 • Yamoa • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Bonsoir,
Je ne sais pas si le sujet à déjà été abordé? Je ne vais pas parler des probabilité générale mais dans des cas spéciaux ou les probabilité semble être modifiées : 1) lorsque le voleur est sur un numéro, celui-ci sort beaucoup plus souvent juste après. 2) Lorsque j'ai plus de 7 cartes à mon tour, la probabilité que le 7 sorte passe de 16.67% à 50%. 3) lorsqu'une colonie est construite, trés souvent le numéro qui sort juste après est situé sur une case adjacente à la nouvelle colonie.
Je ne suis pas le seul à l'avoir remarqué?!

Good evening,
I don't know if this topic has been covered before? I'm not going to talk about the general probability but in special cases where the probability seems to be modified: 1) when the thief is on a number, it comes out much more often just after. 2) When I have more than 7 cards in my turn, the probability that the 7 comes out goes from 16.67% to 50%. 3) when a colony is built, very often the number that comes out right after is located on a square adjacent to the new colony.
I'm not the only one who noticed this?!

juuni 9 th 2023 6:52 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

@Yamoa, I love these observations. I have noticed
#1 for sure (if I want my 10 to be rolled, I put the robber on the other 10 - it doesn't guarantee it, but seems to increase the probability)
#2 I have found this to be true as well, but usually it does not happen to the player with the lowest elo at the table (or perhaps, not to the current loser).
#3 I haven't noticed this, but I will keep an eye out for it

My observations
#4 The dice rolls, especially in the first half of the game, in the first half of the game often benefit one player, based on their initial settlements. This person who benefits also tends to roll more 7's (but not when their hand is over limit)

juuni 18 th 2023 1:30 • Andretapol • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

A few weeks ago I noticed that the behavior of the dice is strange according to statistics.
According to the statistics that the game proposes, the numbers that should appear the most are 8 and 6, but there are games where 6 rarely appears and 8 very rarely. Instead 5 or 3 seem to be the new 6 and 8.
This conspires against the nature of the game.

juuli 17 th 2023 5:55 • thirano • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Extremely biased dice rolls
When fix it?

juuli 17 th 2023 6:19 • thirano • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Both dice and chance cards behave unusually
Random number generation apparently not working properly

juuli 17 th 2023 7:04 • thirano • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

i.imgur.com/8uF5MzF.png
Is it normal for the first four chance cards to be scoring cards?

juuli 17 th 2023 9:20 • darhf • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

yes it is.

juuli 17 th 2023 22:46 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

4 in 10,000 chance of pulling 4 victory points cards in the first four picks

juuli 29 th 2023 22:51 • thirano • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Random number generation is clearly not working properly.
When will this bug be fixed?

aug 7 th 2023 10:58 • sergut • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I agree with lordax: this suggestion does not add anything to the game.

Additionally, it will make the game experience poorer, encouraging people with a poor sense of statistics to complain about the random number generator to be buggy when it is not.

A game of Catan typically involves between 60 and 90 die rolls. Those are not Large Numbers. That is too little to make it very likely that the distribution of results will always look like a normal distribution. There is nothing weird about a game of Catan where 3 is rolled more often than 8 --- also on a physical table, with real dice. (If you aggregated all the roll dice from all the games, then you would clearly see 8 being rolled more often, but in any particular game anything can happen.)

And yet, this thread is full of posts complaining that for this or that specific game, the distribution does not look normal and/or the random number generator is buggy. 🤦 A live count of results would only encourage this behaviour ("We have rolled 12 times and 8 has not come up yet!").

If I could vote against this suggestion, I would.

aug 7 th 2023 11:42 • sergut • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

See also boardgamearena.com/bug?id=66082, another bug report where people with a poor sense of statistics posted tons of complaints about the random number generator being buggy when it is not.

aug 11 th 2023 1:20 • Vengil • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I got a game:

The ten is released 0 times!
And the eleven is released out 14 times!

Look at the screenshot:
i.imgur.com/HFdoztp.png

sept 13 th 2023 0:33 • Guillermo_Itsejam • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

One game 5 - 0 times
Another game 8 - 0 times

Ridiculous

sept 13 th 2023 0:42 • ABA_Girl12 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

this is ridiculous. im about to cancel my membership

nov 6 th 2023 6:11 • serjerbazo • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

imgur.com/5SFIrjI

I lost this came on catan bc among 6 and 9 were less than 5. It hasn't any sense at all. 9 has the same rate as 5 and 6 has more rate. ¿How is it even possible to be more than double times 5 than both of them?

nov 10 th 2023 12:13 • Romero91 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I agree that it can be frustrating not getting the normal dice rolls in some games. But of course, the more times you play the more times the statistics should get real.
To be honest i was not happy when i lost some games and i had the best numbers to win. But that is what probability is, it won't always be accurate, just most of times.

In order to know if the number generator is wrong, we need to take into account every game that is played. That would be millions of dice rolls and then check the percentage of every number.
But only with let's say around 100 times per game, i think it is not enough to assure that there is any issue.

jaan 5 th 2024 22:45 • sloba147 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

dice are rigged in catan at least. it is impossible to have more 3, 11, and 9 and no 6 at all

veebr 6 th 2024 17:31 • John Sun 13 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I don't understand the dice distribution algorithm. you can't play if you get fat with 7.8 of your opponents' dice. they each get 2,3 of 4,5,6, and I stop one for all that many hands the difference.

veebr 6 th 2024 17:33 • John Sun 13 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I do nothing but wait for them to win. I just roll the dice and that's it. It's not possible to play like that.

veebr 6 th 2024 21:26 • John Sun 13 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

it's just a joke. I understand that you should give more chances to those with upremium, but even so...it's a waste of time, really

veebr 6 th 2024 21:28 • John Sun 13 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I didn't get a dice of 10 hands, is this normal?
yes, and when they have 8 or 9 points, the game starts and I also have dice...good score 10

veebr 6 th 2024 21:41 • John Sun 13 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

The most unfair game..there is no such thing...it's a joke

veebr 7 th 2024 16:56 • John Sun 13 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

please understand that you cannot play if you are not given equal chances with your opponents, in every game the dice distribution algorithm is not fayr. I understand that premium players must be in profit, but not in this way. it's a joke. in this way, do nothing but make the others give up. I really like this game, but at this rate it makes me give up...

veebr 7 th 2024 16:58 • John Sun 13 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

today I capitulated. I couldn't resist anymore, besides the fact that I was getting a dice at 4.5 of the opponents, those who had 7 and 5 points, respectively, and I had 3, were stealing from me. You can't play this way, no matter how ambitious you are.

veebr 7 th 2024 20:01 • John Sun 13 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

by the way, I notice with sadness that the ones I flagged are not even read, I don't speak to be analyzed anymore, I don't receive any feedback, so I have to understand that if it suits me well, if not...good bye, UGLY , Very Ugly of you

veebr 7 th 2024 22:38 • darhf • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I'd say 8 messages in a row is the indication that this game is not for you.
Catan is Random, dice are random; Randomness is the very thing preventing rolls to be predictable.
That's it, there's no more to it, no premium advantage bullshit or dark plots against you.
There's ton of games here without randomness.

veebr 17 th 2024 14:24 • Augustodunus • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Dice algorithm is very strange. I played hundreds of games and it's always same conclusion. In the real life, dices respect statistics, but in bga.... it's catastrophy

märts 6 th 2024 15:45 • Henk21 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Because so many people feel like BGA is hacked it would be good to publish statistics of the individual games and the statistics for all games in that day/week. That way we can know if the odd statistics are just an abnormality of if the system get's rigged and odd statistics are way more common than they should be.

märts 14 th 2024 18:42 • QueenSquid • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

PLEASE add dice stats. This game I'm currently in is horribly imbalanced - nearly a dozen 6s rolled and no 8s yet. This is ridiculous.

mai 29 th 2024 6:54 • leosiu430 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

6 dice is double time than 8 .....
One player already have 8 points while the others only still have 2 / 3 points.... ridiculous game

mai 30 th 2024 15:41 • leosiu430 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Dice 3 / 11 much more often than 6/9/10 …..
That’s not a normal probability

mai 30 th 2024 16:06 • greenjacket124 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

"PLEASE add dice stats."
They're already there at the end of games.

"Dice 3 / 11 much more often than 6/9/10 …..
That’s not a normal probability"
While it's not normal in regards to pure probability, it still fits in with the randomness of dice. Your single game is not at all a large enough sample set to say that the randomizer is wrong.

juuni 7 th 2024 10:02 • leosiu430 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

no 6 come very very little offen......

juuni 14 th 2024 5:57 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Very happy to see Cities and Knights expansion included! I find Cities and Knights to be a little less dependent on dice rolls to win than other variants. But this game had double as many 10's as 8's, giving a huge advantage to the two players with the lowest elo's.
boardgamearena.com/5/catan?table=525005647

Cities and Knights has a card called Inventor that allows you to switch 2 numbers on the board (not 2, 6, 8, 12). In real life, I always get myself a 5 or a 9 and give away a 3 or 11. With these weird dice, I see players doing the opposite.

juuni 15 th 2024 7:59 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Double as many 3's as 9's in my latest cities and knights game, just confirming what I mentioned above

juuni 16 th 2024 23:46 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

26% sixes and only 2% tens, handing the game to me on a silver platter, even though I had the highest elo at the table

boardgamearena.com/11/catan?table=526131350

juuni 18 th 2024 23:47 • FromLardToHard • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Humans are terrible at random and even programing random is hard. I have been in IT for 30 years and places like The Cloudflare use lava lamps for Random Encryption generation. So it is not really the fault of the Game Site or the Developers. Just much harder to do than most people realize.

You can google Lava Lamp Encryption for an better explanation.

juuni 27 th 2024 19:07 • tipografico • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

The dice statistics are highly improbable; each game gets stuck on a number that comes up way more frequently than a 6 or an 8. How long will it take you to fix this issue? You've ruined the game! Strategy has become pointless since the game arbitrarily gets stuck in one direction, leaving no chance to recover in a match. You have thousands of complaints and yet you ask for money. I'm quite sure that even a fresh-out-of-school developer could solve this. Terrible game development.

juuli 10 th 2024 12:49 • Anthena • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Table #535553209
Move #184
Progression 100%

Please review alogirthm for your game. In this particular case, the player easily dominated by having 8's and 9's. After playing many games and not claiming to be the best, I have never seen the dice be in such favor of one player. I almost feel as if some players may have figured out how to adjust rolls.

Dice roll: percentage of 3 (~6%)
6
Dice roll: percentage of 4 (~8%)
6
Dice roll: percentage of 5 (~11%)
8
Dice roll: percentage of 6 (~14%)
10
Dice roll: percentage of 7 (~17%)
17
Dice roll: percentage of 8 (~14%)
25
Dice roll: percentage of 9 (~11%)
17
Dice roll: percentage of 10 (~8%)
8
Dice roll: percentage of 11 (~6%)
0
Dice roll: percentage of 12 (~3%)
2

juuli 15 th 2024 4:41 • LongLive2 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

The Dice makes every game boring

juuli 23 rd 2024 3:39 • alexc5150 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

After the robber is moved to a new tile, that number is rolled on the next turn. This has happened numerous times in games I've played. Doesn't appear random.

juuli 28 th 2024 3:14 • Cultivator • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I think there is an issue with the random number generator, I just played a game (boardgamearena.com/4/catan?table=542823321) where there was not a single 9. 63 rolls, a 9 should have an 11.11% chance of rolling. The odds of rolling 63 times and never getting a 9 is less than one in 1669. Now realizing that I have played nearly that many games, there are still a lot of games were numbers don't roll anywhere near what they should based on probability. I think there must be something odd about how the RNG is rounded somehow that leads to some numbers coming up too much or not enough. I think it might be rounding because it different game to game, or maybe there are just patterns in the RNG so that it is not very good to begin with.

Dice roll: percentage of 2 (~3%)
2
Dice roll: percentage of 3 (~6%)
6
Dice roll: percentage of 4 (~8%)
16
Dice roll: percentage of 5 (~11%)
10
Dice roll: percentage of 6 (~14%)
17
Dice roll: percentage of 7 (~17%)
19
Dice roll: percentage of 8 (~14%)
10
Dice roll: percentage of 9 (~11%)
0
Dice roll: percentage of 10 (~8%)
13
Dice roll: percentage of 11 (~6%)
8
Dice roll: percentage of 12 (~3%)
0

aug 5 th 2024 10:34 • leosiu430 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Once again..... un real dice statistics.... Just want to play a fair game....
Dice appear for 2times? Dice 4 appear 13times?...... when will GBA fix the dice statistics issue? We are in AI generation, fair statistic is just a easy things to maintain. Please fix the problem

擲骰：2 的比率 (~3%)
2
擲骰：3 的比率 (~6%)
11
擲骰：4 的比率 (~8%)
13
擲骰：5 的比率 (~11%)
2
擲骰：6 的比率 (~14%)
15
擲骰：7 的比率 (~17%)
17
擲骰：8 的比率 (~14%)
9
擲骰：9 的比率 (~11%)
13
擲骰：10 的比率 (~8%)
15
擲骰：11 的比率 (~6%)
0
擲骰：12 的比率 (~3%)
2

aug 5 th 2024 10:37 • leosiu430 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

imgur.com/a/SZqbcSJ

Once again..... un real dice statistics.... Just want to play a fair game....
Dice appear for 2times? Dice 4 appear 13times?...... when will GBA fix the dice statistics issue? We are in AI generation, fair statistic is just a easy things to maintain. Please fix the problem

擲骰：2 的比率 (~3%)
2
擲骰：3 的比率 (~6%)
11
擲骰：4 的比率 (~8%)
13
擲骰：5 的比率 (~11%)
2
擲骰：6 的比率 (~14%)
15
擲骰：7 的比率 (~17%)
17
擲骰：8 的比率 (~14%)
9
擲骰：9 的比率 (~11%)
13
擲骰：10 的比率 (~8%)
15
擲骰：11 的比率 (~6%)
0
擲骰：12 的比率 (~3%)
2

aug 19 th 2024 0:46 • CerseiQueen • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

A lot of 6 but zero 8

aug 19 th 2024 5:38 • Poposita • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Its a shame to represent Statistics just like some RNG, having a red number and not tossing it after 15 minutes of play and after +10 rounds

aug 28 th 2024 11:07 • Hk2909 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

imgur.com/a/bMcFIjA
even a 12 appeared more often than a 9?
The dice seems center for the Chinese guy.You should check if he hack or not.But this game is totally not fair for me and the one in the third place.I hope you can recover my elo because you know how hard it is to gain it at my point!

aug 31 st 2024 17:19 • LeQuadraGameur • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Table #556844476

Dices roll to "8" 6 times in a row

sept 2 nd 2024 7:26 • leosiu430 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

擲骰：2 的比率 (~3%)
3
擲骰：3 的比率 (~6%)
5
擲骰：4 的比率 (~8%)
5
擲骰：5 的比率 (~11%)
11
擲骰：6 的比率 (~14%)
8
擲骰：7 的比率 (~17%)
16
擲骰：8 的比率 (~14%)
18
擲骰：9 的比率 (~11%)
11
擲骰：10 的比率 (~8%)
10
擲骰：11 的比率 (~6%)
11
擲骰：12 的比率 (~3%)
2

sept 9 th 2024 11:01 • Pogretskiy • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Hello, dear developers. Either you do not get suggestions and complaints about the problem related to the statistics of falling dice, or you deliberately ignore this problem.

After all, many people have already come to you with this problem. I'm sure everyone you ask in this game will support me.

Change the algorithms for the drop-out numbers. If you haven't found a specialist who can do it for so many years, hire him in the labor market.

I like everything in this game, except for the incorrectly written program for the drop of numbers on the cube.

I hope you won't ignore my message.

Thank you for understanding.

PS create a questionnaire on this problem and you will understand how serious it is.

sept 27 th 2024 6:23 • Lucatan777 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

100% catan dice is not random. I have played many times, in the version for free. Whenever I have more than 7 cards in catan basic, the dice shows 7 most of the time for me or for any of the players. I understand it is because I am playing the game for free, and the dice favors the people that are paying for the game in the website. However, it does not exaclty resemble a real game.

okt 1 st 2024 16:30 • amelia0501 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I am playing this game with one player rolling 7 for 80% of his rolling. It does not make sense.

okt 18 th 2024 18:13 • Jamo77 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

The DICE coding is poor, and I can expect a few inconsistent games. but to have #3 roll 7 times and #6 roll 4 times, while #8 & #5 roll 21 times!!! and #7 role 18 times

FIX IT!

okt 23 rd 2024 12:13 • hokahokapants • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

boardgamearena.com/table?table=579244215

Hey guys, please see that result.
Half rolls in all rolls are 6.

Dices logic is poor, it makes the games more boring.

If developer didn't fix it, game players would be decreasing.

okt 23 rd 2024 23:06 • gecko8989 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Hello devs,
Please look into dice randomization and cluster
There is 2 main topics on the forum on this subject. Both agrees that dice are not Randoms.
I have put more info on the 2nd topics in the forum - 170+ up votes
If you add both topics together you got a major subjecta

okt 23 rd 2024 23:07 • gecko8989 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

imgur.com/a/Lcsh4Kb

nov 7 th 2024 21:21 • ElektraA1 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

the data statistics are very bad, it seems that the site decides which numbers will be the best in that game. Even if I choose the best loot, with the best numbers, if one of those numbers is not the "lucky number" it will never fall. I just played a game in which the numbers 12 and 3 fell on the dice more than the number 5, for example.

In some games there are lucky numbers, like 4 or 10, for example. These are numbers that fall into the dice all the time, even more than 6 and 8. And some numbers (which should fall more frequently, like 5) fall very rarely. I know that the numbers with the lowest probabilities must fall at some point in the game, but I think it's ridiculous that their frequency in a match is greater than the best numbers

nov 15 th 2024 14:16 • dUnderdog • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Only 6s in this game

nov 16 th 2024 9:28 • SvenOver • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

28% out of 45 dice rolls were 8's in this game...: boardgamearena.com/11/catan?table=589594816

Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 2 (~3%)
4
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 3 (~6%)
7
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 4 (~8%)
11
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 5 (~11%)
11
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 6 (~14%)
11
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 7 (~17%)
11
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 8 (~14%)
28
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 9 (~11%)
13
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 10 (~8%)
2
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 11 (~6%)
2
Dobbelsteenworp: ratio van 12 (~3%)
0

nov 17 th 2024 19:42 • sahasrabudhe • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

The same number keeps getting rolled again and again! Please check the game number, this is ridiculous

nov 17 th 2024 23:29 • yfimc • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

it’s frustrating that so many responses are dismissive and condescending. it would be nice if the devs would share the full statistics if they want to prove that it’s really random because it really doesn’t feel like it

nov 23 rd 2024 16:54 • Coisinho • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

There is no way i'm in my third game in a row (with 5-6-8-9 production) and loosing awfully to someone with double 10 or double 4 or double 3/11, check your dice statistics! How come a 6 comes out less than half the times a 10 or a 3 after 200 plays. At some point it becomes statistically impossible to happen.

dets 13 th 2024 20:17 • Hollowbody_24 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

agree, weird dice, like the system preffer only better ELO, best more 200
also 2 players always 10, 14 cards, me 6---no 7, first i becomme 9 card, then come 7 every time.

about 1 win game /40 loose

dets 18 th 2024 21:36 • Kanamechan • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

boardgamearena.com/8/catan?table=603475676

Dice roll: percentage of 2 (~4%)
3
Dice roll: percentage of 3 (~13%)
10
Dice roll: percentage of 4 (~7%)
5
Dice roll: percentage of 5 (~12%)
9
Dice roll: percentage of 6 (~13%)
10
Dice roll: percentage of 7 (~20%)
15
Dice roll: percentage of 8 (~11%)
5
Dice roll: percentage of 9 (~11%)
8
Dice roll: percentage of 10 (0%)
0
Dice roll: percentage of 11 (~9%)
7
Dice roll: percentage of 12 (~4%)
3

dets 20 th 2024 7:21 • nivii • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Dice roll: percentage of 2 (~3%)

Dice roll: percentage of 3 (~6%)

Dice roll: percentage of 4 (~8%)

Dice roll: percentage of 5 (~11%)

Dice roll: percentage of 6 (~14%)

Dice roll: percentage of 7 (~17%)

Dice roll: percentage of 8 (~14%)

Dice roll: percentage of 9 (~11%)

Dice roll: percentage of 10 (~8%)

Dice roll: percentage of 11 (~6%)

Dice roll: percentage of 12 (~3%)

dets 28 th 2024 16:57 • ikfitkus • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

too many 10

dets 30 th 2024 19:40 • ikfitkus • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

too many 5 dice

jaan 1 st 2025 1:39 • mlm1111 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

The same number is rolled over and over and over again yet you do not fix this bug. In this game the 9 and 11 were rolled every round to the benefit of 1 player in particular and eventually to the 2 players, I sat for 4 rounds without a 5, 8, 10, 4 and this happened several times where you sit with numbers that should roll while they roll 9, 11, 12 numbers that should not roll, till there was no hope. This happens frequently in this game yet when you lose they take 12 to 15 points when you had no control or strategy that will work. I see this complaint multiple times yet you do not fix this bug. 1 player is normally always benefited from the constant roll of 1 number. In the case of this game it was 9 and secondly 11, definitely against all odds. I have seen it do this with 3's, and this time it rolled 12 three times to the benefit of the same player. I quit playing this game for that reason and have tried to find a better place to play this game on line. I enjoy the game and keep coming back but the frustration drives me away time and again.

jaan 3 rd 2025 16:18 • ikfitkus • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

too many 6s.

jaan 5 th 2025 23:07 • ikfitkus • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

no 10 never presents

jaan 10 th 2025 14:08 • KCHAUs • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Please explain what is going on with the Katana game? It's just impossible! The dice in 9 out of 10 games throws the most bad numbers for me! You'll write that it's all an accident, but it's absolutely not! The casino has a fairer chance of numbers falling out than yours!
As proof, I can record at least 1000 games and show you that it's true! It's just impossible to deal with it from game to game! Fix it!

jaan 12 th 2025 8:35 • Alaguster • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Roll distributions are terrible. They always skew high or low. Tested over 18 games and found a 2+ to 1 ratio if throughout the entirety of each game where dice are always high or always low.

jaan 19 th 2025 13:06 • KCHAUs • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

boardgamearena.com/table?table=617623468

check out this game! well just look! it's just terrible! this is not normal! this is clearly a mistake! The dice roll is clearly broken! and has been broken for a long time! terrible! terrible! terrible! I just don’t want to play when this happens! The number 5 came up 0 times! 0, Karl! and look how many times the number 9 appears! Let me remind you that these numbers have the same probability of being drawn! what a horror! why don't they fix it, why???

jaan 22 nd 2025 9:04 • Malo77 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

A stat board over the current game and over all catan game, or/and over th whole BGA .. would show and close the topic about the random generator used.
Stats is meaningless over one or a few games. stats needs thousands+ of games so we can check. thanks

veebr 12 th 2025 17:24 • mokiran • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

8が連続して出過ぎている

veebr 12 th 2025 18:06 • mokiran • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

8が連続して出ている。明らかに6と同じ確率にならない

veebr 16 th 2025 20:32 • Sideshow Ben • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I just finished a game where 11 was rolled at least 3x more than normal and 6 was rolled maybe 5 times. Are we sure the random number generators are actually random?

veebr 20 th 2025 23:40 • kornackib • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Rzut kością: wynik 2 (~3%) - 2
Rzut kością: wynik 3 (~6%) - 9
Rzut kością: wynik 4 (~8%) - 9
Rzut kością: wynik 5 (~11%) - 23
Rzut kością: wynik 6 (~14%) - 7
Rzut kością: wynik 7 (~17%) - 16
Rzut kością: wynik 8 (~14%) - 21
Rzut kością: wynik 9 (~11%) - 7
Rzut kością: wynik 10 (~8%) - 5
Rzut kością: wynik 11 (~6%) - 2
Rzut kością: wynik 12 (~3%) - 0

That 5... 3x the 6...

veebr 24 th 2025 19:36 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

Three 2s rolled before the first 6, 5, 9 or 10.
boardgamearena.com/13/catan?table=635075425

märts 25 th 2025 23:50 • tarasmushyi • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

I am writing to bring to your attention an unusual statistical outcome that occurred during a recent session involving 101 rolls of two standard six-sided dice (2d6). Specifically, the sum of 3 appeared 13 times, which struck me as highly improbable and prompted a closer statistical analysis.

Based on probability theory, the chance of rolling a sum of 3 with two fair dice is 2 out of 36, or approximately 5.56%. Given 101 rolls, the expected number of occurrences of a sum of 3 would be roughly:

E = 101 \times 0.0556 \approx 5.61

The standard deviation (σ) for such a binomial distribution is:

\sigma = \sqrt{n \cdot p \cdot (1 - p)} \approx \sqrt{101 \cdot 0.0556 \cdot 0.9444} \approx 2.30

This gives a realistic interval for the expected number of occurrences, within ±2σ, as:

[5.61 - 4.60 , 5.61 + 4.60] = [1.01 , 10.21]

The observed value of 13 falls well outside this 95% confidence interval, raising the statistical suspicion of either a highly unlikely outcome or a potential irregularity.

To be precise, the probability of exactly 13 occurrences of sum 3 in 101 fair dice rolls is approximately:

\boxed{0.124\%} \text{ (or 1 in 806)}

While not impossible, this is statistically very rare, and such a deviation could indicate:

A flaw or bias in the random number generator (if digital),

A physical irregularity with the dice (if analogue),

Or simply a highly improbable natural variance — which should ideally not be this extreme.

Given the significance of such a deviation, I would kindly ask your team to verify the integrity of the dice logic or any RNG mechanisms used during this session. I’m not implying wrongdoing — I simply want to ensure that fairness and trust are maintained.

Thank you in advance for your time, attention, and any insights you can provide.

märts 26 th 2025 21:12 • Dejvowsky • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

The number system of dice in this game has been an unfunny joke for a very long time and no one is doing anything about it.
The whole idea of the game makes no sense because no strategy matters, only randomness.
Is this starting to approach gambling games which are probably illegal?

märts 28 th 2025 13:16 • lGurul • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

This dice statistic is just math near imposible. I had my strategy around 6 and 10. They BOTH happens almost same number of times as 2 (!!!!!) Its just insanly bad feeling to play this game just pass every turn cause u cant even trade or stuff. And u didnt choose bad strategy - its just dice is broken.
Table game
#650604190

Кубики: частота 2 (~3%)
8
Кубики: частота 3 (~6%)
5
Кубики: частота 4 (~8%)
12
Кубики: частота 5 (~11%)
9
Кубики: частота 6 (~14%)
6
Кубики: частота 7 (~17%)
15
Кубики: частота 8 (~14%)
14
Кубики: частота 9 (~11%)
15
Кубики: частота 10 (~8%)
3
Кубики: частота 11 (~6%)
6
Кубики: частота 12 (~3%)
8

märts 30 th 2025 4:05 • fearofthequark • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

boardgamearena.com/5/catan?table=651401024

Watch the replay of this game.... I noted the dice throws of this game:
7, 5, 5, 8, 4, 8, 12, 11, 8, 11, 4, 8, 8, 7, 10, 9,
8, 5, 5, 10, 10, 8, 5, 9, 7, 7, 3, 6, 9,

6 came only ONE time... I was the host. My opponents were on the fields: 4, 5, 8, 9 and 10 ...
I was on 3, 6, 10, 11

But if at another game I set my house to the field number 8 there would not be many 8's... I don't know but I think the host is sabotaged in this game...

märts 30 th 2025 10:41 • rakshi05 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

High number of 8 rolled

apr 3 rd 2025 5:23 • cboers18 • Arendajad sooviksid selle ettepaneku kohta rohkem informatsiooni:

@tarasmushyi Thank you for the detailed analysis. It is rare for a Catan game to have 101 rolls. Rather, the stats provided at the end of the game indicate percentage of 8s rolled, for example, and not the absolute number of 8s rolled. This will change your analysis.

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Palun kontrolli, kas samal teemal on juba aruanne olemas

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